北京大学国家发展研究院研究生导师介绍:曾毅
![](http://img.kybimg.com/bang/images/m/icon_down.png)
现任职务北京大学国家发展研究院教授,博士生导师北京大学健康老龄与发展研究中心主任美国杜克大学医学院老年医学部与老龄与人类发展研究中心
中文论文
1. 曾毅,顾大男,凯. 兰德: 健康期望寿命估算方法的拓展及其在中国高龄老人研究中的应用。《中国人口科学》,2007年第6期。
2. 顾大男、柳玉芝、章颖新、任红、曾毅 (2007):我国老年人临终前需要完全照料的时间分析,《人口与经济》,第6期51-58页。
3. 顾大男、曾毅、柳玉芝、曾宪新 (2007):中国老年人虚弱指数及其与痛苦死亡的关系研究,《人口研究》第5期第35-41页。
4. 曾毅: 国家财政保低的农村社会养老保障与人口安全,《中国社会保障》,2006年第8期。
5. 曾毅: 论二孩晚育政策软着陆的必要性与可行性,《中国社会科学》,2006年第2期。
6. 顾大男、曾毅:“1992-2002中国老年人生活自理能力的变化。”《人口与经济》,2006 No. 4: 9-13。
7. 曾毅:中国人口老化,退休金缺口与农村养老保障,《经济学季刊》,2005年第3期。
8. 曾毅:以晚育为杠杆,平稳向二孩政策过渡。《人口与经济》,2005年第2期。
9. 曾毅、王正联:中国家庭与老年人居住安排的变化。《中国人口科学》,2004年第5期。
10. 曾毅:健康长寿调查研究的新进展。《中国人口科学》增刊(老龄健康与社会经济发展研究专辑),2004年。
11. 曾毅、柳玉芝、张纯元、萧振禹:中国高龄老人的社会经济与健康状况。《中国人口科学》增刊(老龄健康与社会经济发展研究专辑), 2004年。
12. 顾大男、曾毅:高龄老人个人社会经济特征与生活自理能力动态变化研究。《中国人口科学》增刊(老龄健康与社会经济发展研究专辑), 2004年,第14-21页。
13. 曾毅:对邦戈茨-菲尼方法的评述、检验与灵敏度分析。《中国人口科学》,2004年第1期。
14. 曾毅、金沃泊:晚育与健康长寿。《人口研究》,2004年第2期。
15. 曾毅、金沃泊:中国高龄死亡模式及其与瑞典、日本的比较分析,《人口与经济》,2004年第3期。
16. 曾毅:计划生育与养老保障一体工程探讨,《人口与计划生育》,2002年第5期。
17. 曾毅:农村计划生育与养老保障结合势在必行,“农村计划生育与养老保障论坛”,《人口与计划生育》,2002年第5期。
18. 顾大男、曾毅:中国高龄老人健康预期寿命研究,《人口与经济》,2002年第2期。
19. 曾毅:农村社会养老保险与计划生育综合改革一体工程-计生系统面临的历史性机遇,《人口研究》,2001年第6期。
20. 曾毅:中国人口老龄化的“二高三大”特征及对策探讨,《人口与经济》,2001年第5期。
21. 曾毅、萧振宇、张纯元、柳玉芝、战捷、金沃泊:中国1998健康长寿调查及高龄老人生活自理期望寿命,《中国人口科学》,2001年第3期。
22. 顾大男、曾毅:中国高龄老人健康隶属等级分析,《中国人口科学》“中国高龄老人健康长寿研究专辑”,2001年。
23. 顾大男、曾毅、柳玉芝:健康期望寿命计算方法评述,《市场与人口分析》,2001年第4期。
24. 任强、曾毅: 应对老龄化世界的挑战,《中国人口科学》,2001年第6期。
25. 曾毅:农村计生优质服务与养老保险一体工程:计生系统面临的历史机遇,政策咨讯报告, 已递交国家计生委,2000年。
26. 曾毅:中国人口老龄化的“二高三大”特征及对策探讨。政策咨讯报告, 已递交国家老龄委与国家计生委, 1999年。
27. 我国高龄老人婚姻、家庭结构概况及有关对策建议。政策咨讯报告, 已递交国家老龄委与国家计生委, 1999年。
28. 曾毅:国际人口学研究的新动态与思考,人口研究,1998,No.6。
29. 曾毅、金沃泊、王正联:多维家庭人口预测模型的建立与应用,中国人口科学,1998,No.5。
30. 曾毅、舒尔茨:农村家庭承包责任制对生育率的影响,中国社会科学,1998,No.1。
31. 曾毅:不宜在纲领性文件中规定农村以家庭养老为主,人口研究,1997,No.6。
32. 曾毅:人口控制与财政政策,财政研究,1995,No.11。
33. 曾毅、吴德清:八十年代以来我国离婚水平与年龄分布的变动趋势,中国社会科学,1995,No.6。
34. 曾毅、王德明:上海、陕西、河北三省市女性再婚研究,中国人口科学,1995,No.5。
35. 曾毅:我国1991-1992年生育率是否大大低于替代水平,人口研究,1995,No.3。
36. 曾毅:经世济民,学以致用,市场与人口分析,1995,No.1。
37. 曾毅:人口项目与社会可持续发展。叶文虎与陈继成主编:《中国可持续发展》,北京大学出版社,1994。
38. 曾毅:从海南的实践看社会养老保险制度的改革,中国人口科学,1994,No.2。
39. 曾毅:在农村建立储备积累式养老保险的必要性与可行性,人口与计划生育,1993,NO.6。
40. 曾毅、舒尔茨、王德明:上海、陕西、河北三省市的离婚分析。人口研究,1993,No.5。
41. 曾毅:市场经济与实用人口学。人口与经济,1993,No.4。
42. 曾毅、蔡文媚、邱沛玲、宋静安:从昌平等地农村调查看晚婚晚育的必要性与可行性。人口与计划生育,1993,No.2。
43. 曾毅、顾宝昌、涂平、徐毅、李伯华、李涌平:我国近年来出生性别比升高的成因及后果分析。人口与经济,1993,No.1。
44. 曾毅:从四普与三普资料看华东六省一市婚姻家庭的现状及变动趋势。人口,1993,No.1。
45. 曾毅:人口与可持续发展。中国21世纪议程国际研讨会论文集,1993。
46. 曾毅:大力发展社会养老保障体系。中国人口报,1993.11.17。
47. 曾毅:市场经济呼唤实用人口学。中国人口报,1993.10.18。
48. 曾毅:利用普查数据估算平均初婚年龄与平均初婚初育间隔的方法及其在四普资料分析中的应用。人口与经济,1992,No.3。
49. 曾毅、李伟、梁志武:中国家庭结构的现状、区域差异及变动趋势。中国人口科学,1992,No.2。
50. 曾毅、邱沛玲:只要领导重视,措施得力,晚婚晚育是可行的。人口学刊,1992,No.6。
51. 曾毅、金沃泊:中国人口发展进程中若干矛盾的分析。于景元主编:现代中国人口与发展。中国社会出版社,1992。
52. 曾毅、李晓丽、贾同金、杨日章:初婚时居住方式与婚后离开公婆(父母)另立门户的生命表分析。人口动态,1991,No.3。
53. 曾毅、金沃泊:中国未来人口发展过程中的几个问题。中国社会科学,1991,No.3。
54. 曾毅:人口城镇化对我国人口发展的影响。人口学刊,1991,No.2。
55. 曾毅、李晓丽、马忠东:子女离家模型及其主要参数的估算方法。中国人口科学,1991,No.1。
56. 曾毅、涂平、郭柳、谢英:全国及各省、市、自治区近年出生率回升原因的人口学分析。人口研究,1991,No.1。
57. 蒋正华、曾毅、王胜今:实用人口学主要分支的介绍及评述。人口动态,1990,No.6。
58. 曾毅:试论控制人口数量提高人口质量的社会经济对策。人口动态,1990,No.3。
59. 曾毅:逐步提高平均生育年龄对我国人口发展的影响。人口与经济,1990,No.2。
60. 曾毅、李晓丽:从湖南、山西调查看农村妇女家庭生命历程与家庭结构变化。人口与经济,1990,No.2。
61. 曾毅:我国城乡家庭结构变动趋势分析。中国人口科学,1989,No.6。
62. 曾毅:家庭人口学—一门十分活跃的人口学分支学科。中国人口科学,1988,No.6。
63. 曾毅:人口要素变动对我国妇女家庭状态的影响。中国人口科学,1988,No.1。
64. 曾毅:试论人口城镇化对控制我国人口增长的影响。人口与经济,1987,No.6。
65. 曾毅:关于生育率下降如何影响我国家庭结构变动的探讨。北京大学学报, 1987,No.4。
66. 曾毅:多增-减生命表的构造方法及其在中国妇女婚姻研究中的应用。人口 研究,1987,No.3。
67. 曾毅:六十年代以来美国家庭结构的变动。青年地理学家,1987,No.3。
68. 曾毅:提高文化教育水平与农村人口控制。人口研究论文集,上海华东师范大学出版社,1984。
69. 曾毅:西藏高原的升起与中国自然环境的变迁。地理教学,上海教育出版社,1982。
英文论文
1) Zeng Yi, J. Vaupel and A.Yashin. 1985. “Marriage and Fertility in China: A Graphical Analysis.” Population and Development Review 11: 721-36.
2) Zeng Yi. 1986 “Changes in Family Structure in China: a Simulation Study.” Population and Development Review 12:675-703.
3) Zeng Yi. 1988. “Changing Demographic Characteristics and the Family Status of Chinese Women.” Population Studies 42: 183-203.
4) Zeng Yi and J. Vaupel. 1989. “Impact of Urbanization and Delayed Childbearing on Population Growth and Aging in China.” Population and Development Review 15: 425:445.
5) Zeng Yi. 1989. “Is China''''s Family Planning Program Tightening Up?” Population and Development Review Vol. 15:333-337.
6) Zeng Yi. 1989. “Aging of the Chinese Population and the Policy Issues: Lessons Learned from a Rural-urban Dynamic Projection Model.” Referred and selected articles for publication in International Population Conference, Volume 3: 81-101. Liege: International Union for Scientific Studies of Population, 21st General Conference.
7) Zeng Yi, Tu Ping, Guo Liu and Xie Ying. 1991. “A Demographic Decomposition of Recent Increase in Crude Birth Rates in China.” Population and Development Review 17: 435-458.
8) James W. Vaupel and Zeng Yi. 1991. “Population Tradeoffs in China.” Policy Sciences 24: 389-406.
9) Zeng Yi, Tu Ping, Gu Baochang, Xu Yi, Li Bohua and Li Youngping. 1993. “An Analysis on Causes and Implications of Recent Increase in Sex Ratio at Births in China.” Population and Development Review 19: 283-302.
10) Zeng Yi, J.W. Vaupel, and Wang Zhenglian. 1993. “Marriage and Fertility in China: Recent Trends.” Genus Vol. IL:17-34.
11) Zeng Yi, and Wang Deming. 1993. “An Event History Analysis of Remarriage in China.” Selected and referred article for publication in: International Population Conference, Volume 3: 323-335. Liege: International Union for Scientific Studies of Population, 22nd General Conference.
12) Zeng Yi, A. Coale, M.K. Choe, Z. Liang, and L. Liu. 1994. “Leaving Parental Home: Census Based Estimates for China, Japan, South Korea, The United States, France, and Sweden.” Population Studies 48: 65-80.
13) Zeng Yi. 1995. “Aging in China: Progress and Policy Responses.” Reviews in Clinical Gerontology 5: 77-83.
14) Zeng Yi. 1995. “China''''s Agenda for an Old-age Insurance Program in Rural Areas.” Journal of Aging & Social Policy 6: 101-14.
15) Schultz, T. Paul and Zeng Yi. 1995. “Fertility of Rural China: Effects of Local Family Planning and Health Programs.” Population Economics 8: 329-50.
16) Ma, Z and K.L. LIAW and Zeng Yi. 1996. "Spousal Residence Separation Among Chinese Young Couples." Environment and Planning A 28: 877-8.
17) Zeng Yi. 1996. “Is Fertility in China in 1991-1992 Far Below the Replacement Level?” Population Studies Vol. 50: 27-34.
18) Ma, Z., K.L. Liaw, and Zeng Yi. 1997. "Migrations in the Urban/Rural Settlement System of China: Insights from the Micro Data of the 1987 National Survey." Environment and Planning A 29: 709-30.
19) Zeng Yi, James W. Vaupel, and Wang Zhenglian. 1997. “A Multidimensional Model for Projecting Family Households -- With an Illustrative Numerical Application.” Mathematical Population Studies 6: 187-216.
20) Zeng Yi. 1997. “Dilemmas of Family Size Norms in China.” Selected and referred article for publication in International Population Conference, Volume 3: 1405-1418. Liege: International Union for Scientific Studies of Population, 23rd General Conference.
21) Vaupel, J.W., J.R. Carey, K. Christensen, T.E. Johnson, A.I. Yashin, N.V. Holm, I.A. Iachine, V. Kannisto, A.A. Khazaeli, P. Liedo, V.D.Longo, Zeng Yi, K.G. Manton, and J.W. Curtsinger. 1998. “Biodemographic Trajectories of Longevity.” Science, 280: 855-60.
22) Zeng Yi, James W. Vaupel and Wang Zhenglian. 1998. “Household Projection Using Conventional Demographic Data.” Population and Development Review, Supplementary Issue: Frontiers of Population Forecasting. Volume 24: 59-87.
23) Wang Zhenglian, Zeng Yi, Bernard Jeune, and J.W. Vaupel. 1998. “Age Validation of Han Chinese Centenarians.” GENUS - An International Journal of Demography, Vol. LIV: 123-141.
24) Schultz, T. Paul and Zeng Yi. 1999. “The Impact of Institutional Reform from 1979 to 1987 on Fertility in Rural China.” Chinese Economic Review 10: 141-60. (The authors are listed alphabetically and share equally in the research design and analysis).
25) Zeng Yi, Wang Zhenglian, Ma Zhongdong, Chen Chunjun. 2000. “A Simple Method for Estimating a and b: An Extension of Brass Relational Gompertz Fertility Model.” Population Research and Policy Review, Volume 19, No. 6, pp. 525-549.
26) Zeng Yi and Linda George. 2000. “Family Dynamics of 63 Million (in 1990) to More Than 330 Million (in 2050) Elders in China.” Demographic Research, Vol. 2 (5).
27) Zeng Yi and Wu Deqing. 2000. “A Regional Analysis of Divorce in China Since 1980.” Demography, 37 (2): 215-219.
28) Zeng Yi and Jiang Leiwen. 2000. "Does Rapid Economic Growth Accompanied by Massive Migration Necessarily Result in Severe Environmental Pollution? -- A Case Study of Pear River Delta in China." Current Politics and Economics of China, Vol. 3, No. 3. Pp. 427-445.
29) Zeng Yi and Kenneth C. Land. 2001. “A Sensitivity Analysis of The Bongaarts-Feeney New Method for Adjusting Bias in Observed Period Total Fertility Rates.” Demography, 38 (1): 17-28.
30) Zeng Yi, James W. Vaupel, Xiao Zhenyu, Zhang Chunyuang and Liu Yuzhi. 2001. “The Healthy Longevity Survey and the Active Life Expectancy of the Oldest Old in China.” Population: An English Selection, 13(1): 95-116.
31) Zeng Yi, James W. Vaupel, Xiao Zhenyu, Zhang Chunyuang et Liu Yuzhi. 2001. “L’enquete sue la longevite en bonne sante: l’esperance de vie sans incapacite des personnes tres agees en Chine.” Population: Longevite, 56(1).
32) Zeng Yi and Linda George. 2002. “Extremely Rapid Aging and the Living Arrangement of Elderly Persons: the Case of China.” In Living Arrangements of Older Persons, Population Bulletin of the United Nations, Special Issue Nos. 42/43, New York: United Nations.
33) Zeng Yi and Kenneth C. Land. 2002. “Adjusting Period Tempo Changes – with an Extension of Ryder’s Basic Translation Equation.” Demography, Vol. 39, No. 2, pp. 269-285.
34) Zeng Yi. 2001. “A Demographic Analysis of Family Households in China, 1982-1995.” Journal of Comparative Family Studies. Vol. 33, No. 1, pp. 15-34.
35) Zeng Yi, James W. Vaupel, Xiao Zhenyu, Zhang Chunyuan and Liu Yuzhi. 2002. “Sociodemographic and Health Profiles of Oldest Old in China.” Population and Development Review, No. 2, Vol. 28.
36) Zeng Yi and James W. Vaupel. 2002. “Functional Capacity and Self-Evaluation of Health
and Life of the Oldest Old in China.” Journal of Social Issues, 58: 733-748.
37) Zeng Yi, T. Paul Schultz, Wang Deming, and Gu Danan. 2002. “Association of Divorce with Socio-economic Covariates in China, 1955-1985: Event History Analysis based on Data collected in Shanghia, Hebei, and Shaanxi.” Demographic Research, Vol. 7, Article 11.
38) Zeng Yi. 2002. “Aging in China.” Ekerdt, David J. (ed.), Encyclopedia of Aging. Macmillan
Reference USA, an Imprint of the Gale Group, New York.
39) Zeng Yi, Liu Yuzhi, and Linda George. 2003. “Gender Differentials of Oldest Old in China.” Research on Aging. 25: 65-80.
40) Zeng Yi and James W. Vaupel. 2003. “Oldest Old Mortality in China.” Demographic Research, Vol. 8 (7): 215-244.
41) Zeng Yi and Zhenglian Wang. 2003. “Dynamics of Family and Elderly Living Arrangements in China: New Lessons Learned from the 2000 Census.” The China Review, Vol. 3, No. 2: 95-119.
42) Zeng, Yi; Gu, Danan, and Land, K. C. 2004. “A New Method for Correcting Underestimation of Disabled Life Expectancy and Application to Chinese Oldest-Old.” Demography, Vol. 41 (2): 335-361.
43) Zeng, Yi, and Vaupel, J.W. 2004. “Association of Late Childbearing With Healthy Longevity among The Oldest-Old in China.” Population Studies, 58(1): 37-53.
44) Zeng, Yi. 2004. “Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey and Some Research Findings.” Geriatrics and Gerontology International, 2004; 4: S49-S52.
45) Zeng Yi, Eric Stallard, And Zhenglian Wang. 2004. “Computing Time-Varying Sex-Age-Specific Rates of Marriage/Union Formation and Dissolution in Family Household Projection or Simulation.” Demographic Research, 11, 264-299.
46) Gu, Danan; and Zeng, Yi. 2004. Sociodemographic Effects on the Onset and Recovery of ADL Disability among Chinese Oldest-old. Demographic Research, 11, 1-44.
47) Zeng Yi, Kenneth C. Land, Zhenglian Wang, and Gu Danan. 2006. “U.S. Family Household Momentum and Dynamics -- Extension of ProFamy Method and Application.” Population Research and Policy Review, 25(1): 1-41.
48) Gu, Danan, Liu, Guangya, Vlosky, A. Denese and Zeng, Yi. (2007). Factors Associated with Place of Death among Chinese Oldest-old. Journal of Applied Gerontology 26(1), 34-57.
49) Zeng Yi, Zhenglian Wang, Jiang Leiwen, and Danan Gu. 2006. “Projection of Family Households and Elderly Living Arrangement in the Context of Rapid Population Aging in China --A Demographic Window of Opportunity Until 2030 and Serious Challenges Thereafter.” Forthcoming in GENUS.
50) Zeng Yi, Danan Gu, and Kenneth C. Land. 2007. “The Association of Childhood Socioeconomic Conditions with Healthy Longevity at the Oldest-Old Ages in China.” Demography. Vol 44, No. 3: 497-518.
51) Zeng Yi, 2007. “Options of Fertility Policy Transition in China.” Population and Development Review. Vol. 33 No. 2, Heading article, Pp. 215-246.
52) Zeng Yi (2008) La Presion demografica sobre el envejecimiento de la poblacion (Demographic Pressure on Population Aging in Chin). Vanguardia Dossier (Spanish Quarterly), Issue 28: 53-59.
53) Xiao, Xinhua, Zhenxin Zhang, Harvey Jay Cohen, Heng Wang, Wenhui Li, Tong Wang, Tao Xu, Aimin Liu, Mingying Gai, Ying Shen, Ole Schmitz,Zeng Yi (2008). “Evidence of a Relationship between Infant Birth Weight and Later Diabetes Mellitus and Impaired Glucose Regulation in a Chinese Population”. Diabetes Care, 2008, No. 4. 54) Gu, Danan; Dupre, Matthew E.; Sautter, Jessica; Zhu, Haiyan; Liu, Yuzhi; and Zeng, Yi. “Frailty and Mortality among Chinese at Advanced Ages.” Journal of Gerontology: Social Sciences, In press.
55) Gu, Danan; Zhang, Zhenmei; and Zeng, Yi. “Accessibility to Healthcare Services Makes a Difference in Healthy Longevity among Older Chinese Adults.” Social Science and Medicine, In press.
56) Dupre, Matthew E.; Gu, Danan; Warner, David F.; and Zeng, Yi. “Frailty and Type of Death among Older Adults in China. British Medical Journal. In press.
- 2023-09-302011北大中文复习资料(2)
- 2023-09-30分享给2015及以后考北大英美文学的同学们
- 2023-02-252019年北大经济法学考研专业课真题
- 2022-12-30古代文学复试帖
- 2022-12-07北大中文古代文学1997-2010专业试题
- 2022-10-282011北大中文复习资料(1)
- 2022-09-16北大法硕历年考研高分学霸经验贴合集!
- 2022-08-22北大光华95-10年微观真题+00-06统计真题+答案|附赠ccer部分试题
- 2022-08-1620考研北大数院统计/叉院数据科学(统计学)备考经验
- 2022-05-212011北大中文复习资料(3)